H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Jordan 3 ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less particular. Tammy was initially anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and very effective hurricane that triggered huge destruction and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a hurricane that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has activated hurricane warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is just the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists formerly cautioned hurricanes could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy